2024 Oscar Predictions

[KoV]

Thought this could be fun, I always try and predict the winners. Some years I'm quite close, many years I'm wildly off. If anyone else also does these predictions, post 'em!

who I think will win is in bold.


Best Picture:
American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest


Best Actress:
Annette Bening, Nyad
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Huller, Anatomy of a Fall (ok tbh it will probably be Stone or Gladstone, but I'm trying to manifest lol)
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Emma Stone, Poor Things


Best Actor:
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction


Best Supporting Actress:
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
America Ferrera, Barbie
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers


Best Supporting Actor:
Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things


Best Director:
Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest


Best Original Screenplay:
Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers
Maestro
May December
Past Lives


Best Adapted Screenplay:
American Fiction
Barbie (tbh this is probably wrong, will probably be... any other movie in this category. But part of me thinks enough people will vote for Gerwig as a consolation prize?)
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest


Best Cinematography:
El Conde
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things


Best Original Score:
American Fiction
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things


Best Original Song:
"The Fire Inside," Flamin' Hot
"I'm Just Ken," Barbie
"It Never Went Away," American Symphony
"Wahzhazhe (A Song for My People)," Killers of the Flower Moon (I know everyone's expecting the Billie Eilish/Barbie song to win, and they're probably right, but Billie winning two Oscars is just a lil much)
"What Was I Made For?" Barbie


Best Editing:
Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things


Best Production Design:
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Napoleon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things


Best Costume Design:
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Napoleon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things (should be this, though)


Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
Golda
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
Society of the Snow


Best Sound:
The Creator
Maestro
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
Oppenheimer
The Zone of Interest


Best Visual Effects:
The Creator
Godzilla Minus One
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One
Napoleon


Best International Feature:
Io Capitano
Perfect Days
Society of the Snow
The Teachers' Lounge
The Zone of Interest


Best Animated Feature:
The Boy and the Heron
Elemental
Nimona
Robot Dreams
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse


Best Documentary Feature:
Bobi Wine: The People's President
The Eternal Memory
Four Daughters
To Kill a Tiger
20 Days in Mariupol


Animated Short:
Letter to a Pig
Ninety-Five Senses
Our Uniform
Pachyderme
War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko


Documentary Short:
The ABCs of Book Banning
The Barber of Little Rock
Island in Between
The Last Repair Shop
Nai Nai & Wai Po


Live-Action Short:
The After
Invincible
Knight of Fortune
Red, White and Blue
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

 

[Ivancica]

Thank you for the initiative. My predictions below.

Best Picture:
Oppenheimer

Best Actress:
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Emma Stone, Poor Things (I think she should get it)

Best Actor:
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers (He also has a chance)
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Best Supporting Actress:
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Best Supporting Actor:
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

Best Director:
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Best Original Screenplay:
Anatomy of a Fall

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Barbie

Best Cinematography:
Oppenheimer

Best Original Score:
Oppenheimer

Best Original Song:
"What Was I Made For?" Barbie

Best Editing:
Oppenheimer

Best International Feature:
The Zone of Interest

Best Animated Feature:
The Boy and the Heron

 

[gallianostan]

predicting a miserable boring oppenheimer sweep. rooting for anatomy of a fall and the zone of interest in every category!

 

[BalkaniStaCouture]

I

Thank you for the initiative. My predictions below.

Best Picture:
Oppenheimer

Best Actress:
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Emma Stone, Poor Things (I think she should get it)

Best Actor:
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers (He also has a chance)
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer

Best Supporting Actress:
Da'Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Best Supporting Actor:
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer

Best Director:
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer

Best Original Screenplay:
Anatomy of a Fall

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Barbie

Best Cinematography:
Oppenheimer

Best Original Score:
Oppenheimer

Best Original Song:
"What Was I Made For?" Barbie

Best Editing:
Oppenheimer

Best International Feature:
The Zone of Interest

Best Animated Feature:
The Boy and the Heron

I agree 100% with you. But I would like surprise in Female category with both Anette and Jody. I mean Bening has been nominated five times. I so badly want Winslet moment for her ❤️

 

[MulletProof]

I didn't really watch anything except Barbie and Maestro, but I know what should get nothing: Barbie and Maestro.

 

[Riveredge]

Oppenheimer will sweep except for Best Supporting Actress.

 

[tigerrouge]

I'd like Paul Giamatti to be recognised, but I'm not expecting this year's Oscars to be anything other than Oppenheimer. I'll just stay up long enough to see the dresses.

 

[couturefan]

I thought this was a thread to predict which designer the actresses are gonna wear tonight lol.

Anyway I know it's not gonna happen but I would love to see Sandra Hüller winning best actress.

 

[Snejana Onopka]

i was hoping for an anatomy of a fall and the holdovers takeover but oppenheimer and poor things will sweep

Messi, the dog in anatomy of a fall deserved a best supporting actor nom, he outacted everyone from RDJ to mark ruffalo

 

[susseinmcswanny]

I really really want May December to win an award but in that category idk if it will stand up to the rest.

Also watched Anatomy of a Fall last night and Sandra tore so hard… I need her or the movie to win something.

But I just know Oppenheimer is gonna win everything. Which to be fair Cillian and the score and cinematography and etc etc was great but like … I hate sweeps. Sometimes it should just be implied.

 

[thiago:)]

Would love to see Sandra Huller winning best actress but Lily might get it. Emma Stone was amazing too.

 

[KoV]

predicting a miserable boring oppenheimer sweep. rooting for anatomy of a fall and the zone of interest in every category!

It wouldn't be my choice for a single category (actually, out of the current nominees, it would probably be my pick for Supporting Actor, but that's it) but I do think it was a well-made movie and a massive success, so I won't be too disappointed when the inevitable sweep occurs.

 

[GRCF]

Honestly I think I am the only person still not dazzled by Stone in Poor Things (or in anything and yes I've seen most of her work just to prove myself wrong). She's not a bad actress. She's just, to me, not great. She does the job and I don't feel let down but I don't leave wanting more of her like I do Emily Blunt or Kate Winslet or Penelope Cruz, or so many others. I think all her characters are just a different version of quirky, and this was just another, more developed and a bit more nuanced, version of quirky. Her and Ruffalo's British accents are bad, Ruffalo's is horrendous though. I liked maybe the last 30 mins of the film. I did quite enjoy the costume and production design, they were exquisite! Their Oscar for those two categories were very much deserved. To me this was a movie trying to make a grand, bold statement without it being actually reflective or innovative in how it makes that statement. It's definitely a feminist critique made by a man or a woman trying to be "edgy".

I'm glad Lily Gladstone did not get it because I did not think that was a great performance, but I blame the way her character was written. She performed being sick and bed-ridden well.

Best Actress really should have been Sandra's, though I say that not having seen Nyad or Maestro, though Mulligan is also generally just an okay actress.